North MS Local Forecast: Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 73 and it feels like 73. Highs will continue to range between 90 and 96 with lows between 68 and 73. There is a 30% chance of AM showers today, a slight chance of rain tomorrow, and a slight chance of rain on Wednesday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 72 and it feels like 72. Todays high is 83 and a low of 68 with a slight chance of rain. Tuesdays high is 91 with a 50% chance of PM thunderstorms.
Severe Weather Update (Southeast Region): Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There are no threats of severe weather in the longer range.
Severe Weather Outlook (Nationwide): Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow from Kansas into Minnesota. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow from Eastern Nebraska into Western Iowa. Primary threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Wednesday from the Texas Panhandle Northeastward to Southern Lake Michigan. Primary threats: small hail and gusty winds.
Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Tropical Depression Fiona has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 1008mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 18mph. Is expected to dissipate by tomorrow. The remnants of Fiona may bring gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall to Bermuda by midweek. (#2) A tropical wave located about 900 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower activity. Dry air near this system is expected to inhibit significant development during the next few days while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development late this week when the system is expected to move near Hispaniola and the southeastern and central Bahamas. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (3) Thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization in association with a tropical wave and a large area of low pressure located almost 300 miles south of the southern Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a High chance, 90%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 90%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Kay has winds of 50mph, gusting to 65mph, with a pressure of 1000mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 8mph. Is expected to dissipate by tomorrow. Not a threat to land. (#2) An area of disturbed weather has formed about 1000 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#3) An area of low pressure could form several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula in a few days. Gradual development of that system is possible beyond that time while it moves generally west-northwestward. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Mindulle has winds of 50mph, gusting to 65mph, with a pressure of 985mbars. Movement is North-Northeast at 20mph. Is expected to dissipate by later today or by tomorrow over Japan. (#2) Tropical Storm Lionrock has winds of 40mph, gusting to 50mph, with a pressure of 990mbars. Movement is Northeast at 5mph. Is expected to remain at tropical storm intensity over next few days and then intensify into a category 1 typhoon by late week. Not a threat to land. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), (#1) Deep Depression BOB Three has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 987mbars. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
Long Range Outlook: As we head into late August, expect a continuance in normal to slightly below normal rainfall across the Southeast with still some potential for strong to severe storms. Temperatures will range between normal to slightly above normal.
Weather Word of the Week: Fujiwhara Effect. A binary interaction where tropical cyclones within a certain distance (300-750 nm depending on the sizes of the cyclones) of each other begin to rotate about a common midpoint.
Where to find more about me: Visit my website at Parker Weather Service.com, or follow me on Twitter at JohnnyParker012@twitter.com and on Google Plus JohnnyParker. The Regional Rehabilitation Center in Tupelo, MS, serves people, like myself, with physical disabilities. I am their “Weatherman in Residence”.