Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 70 and it feels like 70. Highs will continue to range between 69 and 80 with lows between 51 and 60. There is a slight chance of rain today, a 60% chance of PM showers next Thursday, and a slight chance of rain next Friday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 69 and it feels like 69. Todays high is 77 and a low of 60 with a slight chance of rain. Thursdays high is 75 with North winds at 10-20mph with gusts to 30mph.

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map_specnewsdct-100_ltst_4namus_enus_650x366 197Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There could be a potential threat of severe weather around October 7-15th.

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probhazards_d8_14_contours 102Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today for Raton Mesa of Southeast Colorado/Northeast New Mexico. Main threat: locally damaging wind gusts and large hail. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Friday across the Southern High Plains Vicinity. Main threats: damaging winds, large hail, and an isolated tornado or two.

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day3prob_0730 334Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Tropical Storm Joaquin has winds of 70mph, gusting to 85mph, with a pressure of 988mbars. Movement is West-Southwest at 6mph. Is expected to intensify into a hurricane by late this morning and affect the Bahamas. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the Northwestern Bahamas excluding Andros Island. This includes the Abacos, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island, Rum Cay, and San Salvador. Will remain a hurricane through Monday morning with a potential landfall between the Outer Banks of North Carolina up to New Jersey/Long Island. Impacts will include: heavy rainfall, flash flooding, high waves/rough seas, rip currents, tropical storm force winds, coastal/inland flooding, and beach erosion. (#2) A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms over the Central Atlantic several hundred miles Northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands is associated with a frontal trough and the remnants of Ida. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves slowly West-Northwestward. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Medium chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Tropical Depression Marty has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 1002mbars. Movement is West at 5mph. Is expected to dissipate by tomorrow. (#2) An area of low pressure is expected to form within an elongated surface trough several hundred miles South-Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula during the next day or two. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for subsequent development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while the low drifts Northward or Northeastward. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 90%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.

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