Wednesday, September 16, 2015

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 62 and it feels like 62. Highs will continue to range between 84 and 92 with lows between 59 and 64. There is a 50% chance of PM thunderstorms on Sunday, a 50% chance of PM thunderstorms next Monday, and a slight chance of rain next Tuesday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 64 and it feels like 64. Todays high is 86 with a low of 62. Thursdays high is 87.

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map_specnewsdct-100_ltst_4namus_enus_650x366 175Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.

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probhazards_d8_14_contours 95Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across the Upper Midwest. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across the Northern High Plains. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across the Upper Great Lakes and Upper Mississippi Valley into parts of the Central Plains. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Friday across parts of the Lower Missouri Valley into Southwestern Portions of the Great Lakes Region. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds.

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day3prob_0730 330Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized in association with a low pressure system located about midway between the Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. Some additional development of this low is possible, and it could become a tropical depression before upper-level winds become unfavorable in a day or so. This low is expected to move generally Northwestward at about 10mph during the next several days. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a High chance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#2) A broad area of low pressure located about 350 miles South-Southwest of the Southernmost Cape Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression over the next few days while the system moves West-Northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) A weak and elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles South of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing a limited amount of shower activity. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur over the next several days while it moves slowly Westward. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) A broad area of low pressure located about 1200 miles Southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii is generating disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development is possible during the next couple of days as this low moves slowly to the Northwest. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Krovanh has winds of 65mph, gusting to 80mph, with a pressure of 985mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 14mph. Is expected to intensify into a major category 3 typhoon by tomorrow then a major category 4 typhoon by late Friday. May bring high waves and rough surf to Japan, but is not expected to directly impact Japan. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.

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