Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 75 and it feels like 75. Highs will continue to range between 95 and 98 with lows between 73 and 75. There is a slight chance of rain tomorrow, a slight chance of rain on Friday, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Saturday, a 60% chance of AM thunderstorms next Thursday, and a 50% chance of PM thunderstorms next Friday. Few storms could be strong to severe tomorrow and Friday. Main threats will be damaging wind gusts and localized flash flooding. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 74 and it feels like 74. Todays high is 95 with a low of 73. Thursdays high is 95 with a slight chance of rain.
Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.
Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today from the High Plains to the Middle and Upper MS Valley to Western Virginia/North Carolina, and from Eastern Portions of the Southern Plains to the Ozarks. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2a) Slight Risk of severe weather today across the Ohio Valley into West Virginia. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2b) Slight Risk of severe weather today across the Northern and Central High Plains. Main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow from Eastern Oklahoma through the Mid MS Valley into the Ohio Valley, Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow from the Central High Plains through the Northern Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2a) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow over a portion of the Northern High Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2b) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow over a portion of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Friday from Southeastern Missouri into the Southwestern Portions of the Ohio Valley. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Friday over the Northern Plains into Minnesota. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather on Friday over a portion of the Northern Plains into Central Minnesota. Main threats will be large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a Day 4 (Saturday/Sunday) 15% severe weather risk from extreme Northwestern Missouri, extreme Eastern Nebraska, much of Iowa, Northwestern Illinois, Southeastern Minnesota, and a portion of Southwestern Wisconsin. This means there is a 15% chance of seeing severe weather within 25 miles of a given point.
Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Tropical Depression Bill has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 1000mbars. Movement is North at 13mph. Bill is expected to continue moving over Texas, Eastern Oklahoma, Northwest/Northern Arkansas, Southern half of Missouri, and Southern Illinois through this weekend. Main threats will be very heavy rainfall of 8-12 inches with locally 12+ inches, flash flooding, and strong, gusty winds. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Carlos has winds of 65mph, gusting to 75mph, with a pressure of 994mbars. Movement is North-Northwest at 7mph. Is expected to continue to weaken and dissipate by late tomorrow morning off upper coast of Mexico. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes, Mexico. Primary threats will be heavy rainfall totals of 3-6 inches with locally 10 inches possible, flash flooding, mudslides, high winds, rip currents, high waves/surf, and beach erosion. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next several days. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5-10 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5-10 days.
