Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 75 and it feels like 75. Highs will continue to range between 91 and 99 with lows between 71 and 74. There is a slight chance of rain on Friday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 77 and it feels like 77. Todays high is 97 and a low of 75 with a slight chance of rain. Thursdays high is 98 with a slight chance of rain.

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Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There are no threats of severe weather in the longer range.

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Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Carolinas. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Northern Plains and Mid to Upper MS Valley outside of the Slight Risk area. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather today across parts of Northern North Dakota into Northwest Minnesota. Primary threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across a part of the Central Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow surrounding the Slight Risk across the Great Lakes to the Upper Saint Lawrence Valley. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow across much of Lower Michigan, and parts of Eastern Upper Michigan/Eastern Wisconsin. Primary threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Friday from Eastern Montana/Wyoming to Southwest and Central Minnesota. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Friday extending from Western New York into Pennsylvania to Northern Ohio/Indiana/Illinois and Southern Lower Michigan. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2a) Slight Risk of severe weather on Friday across the Northern Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2b) Slight Risk of severe weather on Friday across Eastern New York into New England. Primary threats: large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a Day 4 (Saturday/Sunday) 15% severe weather risk in the Day 4-8 Outlook from Western North Dakota/South Dakota, much of Minnesota, Northern Wisconsin, and Upper Michigan. This means there is a 15% chance of seeing severe weather within 25 miles of a given point.

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Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Darby has winds of 65mph, gusting to 75mph, with a pressure of 994mbars. Movement is West at 13mph. Is expected to remain a tropical storm as it heads towards Hawaii by late week through the weekend. (#2) Tropical Storm Estelle has winds of 70mph, gusting to 85mph, with a pressure of 990mbars. Movement is West at 12mph. Is expected to remain a tropical storm and dissipate by late week. Not a threat to land. (#3) A broad area of low pressure located about 550 miles South-Southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the weekend while it moves West-Northwestward to Northwestward at about 10mph to the South of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#4) A weak low pressure area located almost 1000 miles South of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for some development of this system later this week or this weekend while it moves West-Northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.

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