Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 76 and it feels like 76. Highs will continue to range between 80 and 92 with lows between 63 and 67. There is a 60% chance of PM thunderstorms today, a 50% chance of AM thunderstorms tomorrow, a slight chance of rain on Friday, a slight chance of rain on Saturday, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Sunday, a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms on Monday, and a slight chance of rain next Friday. Some storms could be strong to severe today. Main threats: damaging winds. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 74 and it feels like 74. Todays high is 85 and a low of 68 with a 60% chance of PM thunderstorms. Thursdays high is 76 with a 60% chance of AM thunderstorms.

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map_specnewsdct-100_ltst_4namus_enus_650x366 131Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.

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probhazards_d8_14_contours 81Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today from a portion of Texas through the Lower MS, Tennessee, and Ohio Valleys. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather today over a portion of Lower and Upper Michigan. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk on Friday across the Southern/Central High Plains. Main threats: large hail and damaging wind gusts.

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day4prob 18Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Tropical Storm Danny has winds of 50mph, gusting to 65mph, with a pressure of 1000mbars. Movement is West at 14mph. Is expected to become a hurricane by late tomorrow and remain a hurricane through early next week. Could affect the Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico by late weekend/early next week. (#2) A non-tropical area of low pressure could form within a couple hundred miles of Bermuda over the Western Atlantic Ocean in a few days. Environmental conditions are marginally favorable for some tropical or subtropical development of this system by the weekend while it moves slowly Northward. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) A broad area of nearly stationary low pressure is about 885 miles South-Southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Environmental conditions appear to support slow development in this area during the next couple of days. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Major Typhoon Goni has winds of 115mph, gusting to 145mph, with a pressure of 935mbars. Movement is West at 16mph. Is expected to intensify back into a category 4 typhoon by Friday while maintaining category 3 intensity over next few days. Expected to affect the Northern Philippines and Taiwan as a major category 3 or 4 typhoon by late Thursday through the weekend. By early next week, it could affect Japan as a weakening typhoon. (#2) Super Typhoon Atsani has winds of 150mph, gusting to 185mph, with a pressure of 935mbars. Movement is Northwest at 12mph. Is expected to be intensify into a category 5 super typhoon by late today/early tomorrow morning then begin to weaken by late weekend. Is not a threat to land as it will pass South of Japan. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next couple of days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.

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