Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 70 and it feels like 70. Highs will continue to range between 73 and 79 with lows between 50 and 60. There is a 90% chance of thundershowers today, a slight chance of rain tomorrow, a slight chance of rain next Wednesday, and a 60% chance of showers next Thursday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 70 and it feels like 70. Todays high is 80 and a low of 66 with a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Wednesdays high is 75 with a slight chance of rain.
Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There could be a potential threat of severe weather around October 13-14th.
Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today lee of the Southern Rockies. Main threats: large hail and strong winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across the Southeastern Colorado Vicinity. Main threat: locally damaging wind gusts. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Thursday across portions of the Central and Northern High Plains. Main threats: damaging winds and an isolated tornado or two.
Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) A trough of low pressure located over the Eastern Gulf of Mexico about 100 miles West-Northwest of Tampa, Florida, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico and portions of the Southeastern United States. Strong upper-level winds will likely prevent any significant development of this system before it moves inland over the Northern Gulf Coast later today. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance later today, if necessary. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, locally heavy rains are likely over portions of the Southeastern United States during the next couple of days. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service and products from your local National Weather Service office. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#2) Tropical Storm Joaquin has winds of 40mph, gusting to 50mph, with a pressure of 1002mbars. Movement is West at 5mph. Is expected to remain a tropical storm through Sunday morning and may have some impacts on the East Coast over the weekend. Possible Impacts will include: heavy rainfall, flash flooding, high waves/rough seas, rip currents, strong, gusty winds (mainly near coastal areas), coastal flooding, and beach erosion. (#3) A large area of disturbed weather over the Central Atlantic several hundred miles Northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands is associated with a frontal trough and the remnants of Ida. Some slow development of this system is possible later this week while it moves slowly West-Northwestward. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Marty has winds of 65mph, gusting to 75mph, with a pressure of 993mbars. Movement is East at 2mph. Is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by tomorrow and dissipate by Thursday. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for West of Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico to Punta San Telmo, Mexico. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Acapulco, Mexico to Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico. (#2) An area of low pressure is expected to form within an elongated surface trough several hundred miles South-Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the low remains nearly stationary. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 90%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Typhoon Dujuan has winds of 85mph, gusting to 105mph, with a pressure of 992mbars. Movement is Northwest at 12mph. Is expected to dissipate over Eastern China by late tomorrow or Thursday. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
