Tuesday, September 15, 2015

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 53 and it feels like 53. Highs will continue to range between 84 and 92 with lows between 61 and 66. There is a slight chance of rain on Sunday, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms next Monday, a 60% chance of AM thunderstorms next Tuesday, and a slight chance of rain next Wednesday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 53 and it feels like 53. Todays high is 85 with a low of 60. Wednesdays high is 86.

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map_specnewsdct-100_ltst_4namus_enus_650x366 173Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.

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probhazards_d8_14_contours 94Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across the Dakotas. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across the Central High Plains. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of the Upper Mississippi Valley. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of the Northern High Plains. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Thursday across the Upper Great Lakes and Upper Mississippi Valley into parts of the Central Plains. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds.

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day3otlk_0730 230 day3prob_0730 329Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) A low pressure area located about midway between the Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles continues to produce a limited amount of shower activity. Some development of this low is still possible during the next couple of days while it moves generally Northwestward. After that time, however, upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for development. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Medium chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#2) An area of low pressure located over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico just East of Tampico, Mexico, is producing widespread cloudiness and disorganized shower activity. Significant development of this system is unlikely before it moves inland over Mexico later today. Regardless of development, this system could produce locally heavy rain over portions of Eastern Mexico during the next couple of days. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#3) A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system is located about 400 miles South-Southeast of the Southernmost Cape Verde Islands. Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization, and environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression over the next few days while the system moves West-Northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles South of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days as the system moves generally Northwestward at 5 to 10mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Tropical Depression Twenty has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 1002mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 10mph. Is expected to intensify into a tropical storm by later today then a major typhoon by Saturday. May bring high waves and rough surf to Japan, but is not expected to directly impact Japan. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.

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