Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 66 and it feels like 66. Highs will continue to range between 53 and 70 with lows between 31 and 46. Flash Flood Watch is in effect for North MS until 12pm tomorrow. Rainfall totals between 2-4 inches possible. There is a slight chance of rain today, a 100% chance of AM rain tomorrow, a 50% chance of PM showers on Saturday, and a slight chance of rain next Thursday. Winds today will be out of the Southeast at 20-30mph with gusts to 40mph. Significant severe weather outbreak is expected late tonight through early tomorrow morning. Main threats: large hail, widespread damaging winds of 60mph, and isolated tornadoes. Dr. Greg Forbes, severe weather expert at The Weather Channel, is giving MS a TOR:CON (Tornado Condition Index) of 3 for tomorrow. This means there is a 30% chance of seeing a tornado within 50 miles of a given point. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 67 and it feels like 67. Todays high is 73 and a low of 56 with Southeast winds at 20-30mph with gusts to 40mph. Wednesdays high is 61 with a 100% chance of AM rain.
Now, for your Severe/Winter Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of severe or winter weather in the longer range.
Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today surrounding the Slight Risk area from the Ozarks Southward to Central and Western Gulf Coast. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather today from Eastern Texas/Oklahoma into the Lower MS Valley and Central Gulf Coast. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#3) Enhanced Risk of severe weather today over Southern Arkansas, and Northern/Central Louisiana. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes (some strong). The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of the Eastern Gulf Coast Region. Main threats: damaging winds and an isolated tornado or two.
Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Showers and thunderstorms located over much of the Southwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible over the next few days while it drifts Westward toward the Southern portion of Central America. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) A large area of disturbed weather is located about 750 miles South of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves West-Northwestward at 5 to 10mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
