Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 79 and it feels like 82. Heat Advisory in effect until 7pm this evening for Southern half of North MS. Heat Index Readings: 106-109 degrees. Impacts: Increased risk of heat-related illnesses including heat exhaustion and heat stroke. Highs will continue to range between 89 and 99 with lows between 73 and 75. There is a 50% chance of PM thunderstorms today, a 60% chance of PM thunderstorms tomorrow, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Thursday, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Friday, a 50% chance of PM thunderstorms on Saturday, a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms on Sunday, a slight chance of rain next Monday, a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms next Tuesday, a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms next Wednesday, and a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms next Thursday. Few strong to severe storms are possible today through Friday mainly during the afternoon/evening hours. Main threats: damaging winds and localized flash flooding. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 80 and it feels like 84. Todays high is 94 and a low of 75 with a 60% chance of PM thunderstorms. Wednesday high is 89 with a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms.
Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.
Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Southern and Central Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across parts of Northern Pennsylvania, New York, and Vermont. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1c) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Central Appalachian Mountains and Mid-Atlantic. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across portions of Montana. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow from the Ozarks to the Southeast States. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Thursday across the Southeast States. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Thursday from the Northern Rockies to the Northern/Central Plains and Upper Midwest. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather on Thursday across the Northern Plains. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a Day 4 (Friday/Saturday) 15% severe weather probability from Northeast Iowa, Eastern Minnesota, and parts of Wisconsin. This means there is a 15% probability of seeing severe weather within 25 miles of a given point.
Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is expected over the next few days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 600 miles South-Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Upper-level winds that have been inhibiting development are forecast to decrease and become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation during the next day or so. This system is expected to become a tropical depression by midweek while it moves West-Northwestward to Northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 90%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next several days. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Typhoon Halola has winds of 75mph, gusting to 90mph, with a pressure of 960mbars. Movement is West at 12mph. Is expected to intensify into a category 2 typhoon by tomorrow and affect Japan by the weekend. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
