Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 73 and it feels like 73. Highs will continue to range between 93 and 101 with lows between 70 and 73. There is a slight chance of rain tomorrow, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Thursday, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Friday, a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms next Monday, a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms next Tuesday, and a slight chance of rain next Wednesday. Few storms could be strong to severe tomorrow and Thursday. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, and heavy rainfall. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 74 and it feels like 74. Todays high is 98 with a low of 73. Wednesdays high is 95 with a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms.
Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.
Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather today from Eastern Montana Southeastward to Kansas/Missouri/Northern Oklahoma. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather today from New England Southwestward into Central Virginia. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2a) Slight Risk of severe weather today across the Southwestern Nebraska/Northwestern Kansas vicinity. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2b) Slight Risk of severe weather today from Eastern New England Southwestward to the Mid-Atlantic Region. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow from Eastern Idaho across adjacent areas of Montana/Wyoming. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow over the Eastern Dakotas and Northwestern Minnesota. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1c) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow over Northeastern New York and Northern New England. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1d) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow around the Slight Risk from Kentucky/Tennessee West to the Southern/Central Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow from Eastern Kansas across parts of Missouri and Northern Arkansas. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Thursday over portions of the Northern Plains from Eastern South Dakota into Minnesota/Iowa. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Thursday over portions of the Mid-South from Eastern Arkansas to Northern Alabama. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds.
Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) A weak area of low pressure located along the Georgia coast is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive for development while this low moves Northeastward at about 10mph near the Southeastern United States coast during the next day or so. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service (NWS). The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure system located about 1100 miles Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for continued gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression later this week while it moves West-Northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has given this system a Medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Guillermo has winds of 70mph, gusting to 85mph, with a pressure of 991mbars. Movement is Northwest at 12mph. Is expected to remain a tropical storm through Friday morning and will begin to impact Hawaii late today through Friday. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Hawaii County and Maui County, including the Islands of Maui, Molokai, Lanai, and Kahoolawe. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Super Typhoon Soudelor has winds of 160mph, gusting to 195mph, with a pressure of 900mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 14mph. Is expected to weaken to a category 4 major typhoon by tomorrow and will impact Taiwan at that intensity between Friday/early Saturday then weaken to a category 3 major typhoon as it hits China by the weekend. (#2) Tropical Depression Fourteen-W has winds of 30mph, gusting to 40mph, with a pressure of 1010mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 6mph. Could bring some gusty winds and a few showers to parts of Japan over next day or two. Should dissipate by tomorrow. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next couple of days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
