Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 75 and it feels like 75. Highs will continue to range between 92 and 97 with lows between 70 and 74. There is a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms today, a slight chance of rain tomorrow, and a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms on Thursday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 77 and it feels like 77. Todays high is 94 and a low of 73 with a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Wednesdays high is 96 with a 40% chance of AM thunderstorms.
Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There are no threats of severe weather in the longer range.
Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather today over a portion of the Northern High Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather today over a portion of the Upper MS Valley and Great Lakes. Primary threats: hail and gusty winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow surrounding the Slight Risk over the Northern Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow across the Northern Plains. Primary threats: large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Thursday from Eastern Minnesota into Northern Lower Michigan. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather on Thursday across the Upper Great Lakes. Primary threats: large hail and damaging winds.
Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) A vigorous tropical wave passing just South of Jamaica is moving rapidly Westward at about 20mph toward the Northwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are favorable for additional development, and a tropical storm will likely form later today. An Air Force Plane is enroute to investigate the wave and determine if a closed circulation has formed. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, the wave is already producing winds of 40 to 45mph, and these conditions along with heavy rains will likely continue over portions of Jamaica this morning and will spread over the Cayman Islands later today. Interests in the Western Caribbean Sea, primarily the north coast of Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor products issued by their local meteorological services for possible watches and warnings. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service (NWS). The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 90%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Howard has winds of 60mph, gusting to 70mph, with a pressure of 999mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 15mph. Is expected to remain a tropical storm through today and then dissipate by late tomorrow. Not a threat to land. (#2) A broad low pressure system located about 800 miles South-Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the low moves West-Northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 90%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
