Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 74 and it feels like 74. Highs will continue to range between 83 and 91 with lows between 66 and 71. There is a 60% chance of PM thunderstorms today, an 80% chance of PM thunderstorms tomorrow, a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Thursday, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Friday, a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Saturday, and a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Sunday. Some storms could be strong to severe tomorrow. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Dr. Greg Forbes, severe weather expert at The Weather Channel, is giving North MS a TOR:CON (Tornado Conditions Index) of 2-3 for tomorrow. This means there is a 20-30% of seeing a tornado within 50 miles of a given point. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 74 and it feels like 74. Todays high is 84 and a low of 71 with a 50% chance of PM thunderstorms. Wednesdays high is 86 with a 50% chance of PM thunderstorms.
Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.
Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today from the Southern and Central Plains into the Middle and Upper MS Valley. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather today from portions of the Southern and Central Plains into the Middle and Upper MS Valley. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on tomorrow from the Great Lakes to Arkansas. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes.
Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles West-Southwest of the Cape-Verde Islands have become better organized over the past 24 hours. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression will likely form within the next day or two while the system moves West-Northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a High chance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#2) A non-tropical area of low pressure is likely to form within a couple hundred miles of Bermuda over the Western Atlantic Ocean in a few days. Environmental conditions could support some tropical or subtropical development of the system by the weekend while it moves slowly Northward. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) A widespread area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a nearly stationary area of low pressure is located about 915 miles South-Southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Environmental conditions appear to support some slow development in this area during the next couple of days. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Major Typhoon Goni has winds of 120mph, gusting to 150mph, with a pressure of 935mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 17mph. Is expected to intensify back into a category 4 typhoon by Friday while maintaining category 3 intensity over next few days. Expected to affect the Northern Philippines, Taiwan, and Eastern China as a major category 3 or 4 typhoon by late Thursday through the weekend. (#2) Typhoon Atsani has winds of 130mph, gusting to 160mph, with a pressure of 935mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 10mph. Is expected to be intensify into a category 5 super typhoon by Thursday then begin to weaken by the weekend. Is not a threat to land at this time, but may become a threat to Japan down the road. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next couple of days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
