Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 73 and it feels like 71. Highs will continue to range between 82 and 95 with lows between 60 and 73. There is a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms today. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 74 and it feels like 77. Todays high is 92 and a low of 72 with a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms. Fridays high is 87.
Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There are no threats of severe weather in the longer range.
Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today surrounding the Slight Risk from Central Florida Northeastward to Southeastern South Carolina. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather today across portions of Northern/Central Florida, Southeastern Georgia, and Far Southeastern South Carolina. Primary threat: tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina outside of the Slight Risk area. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of Northern Florida, Southeast Georgia, Eastern South Carolina, and Eastern North Carolina. Primary threats: few tornadoes and isolated damaging wind gusts. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Saturday across parts of Eastern North Carolina. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Saturday across parts of Northeast Colorado, Far Southeast Wyoming, Western Nebraska, and Southwestern South Dakota. Primary threats: a few isolated tornadoes (from Tropical Storm Hermine mainly for Carolinas). Secondary threats: hail and strong wind gusts. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a Day 4 (Sunday/Monday) 15% severe weather risk for portions of South Dakota into Southern North Dakota in the Day 4-8 Outlook. This means there is a 15% probability of seeing severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Tropical Storm Hermine has winds of 60mph, gusting to 70mph, with a pressure of 996mbars. Movement is North-Northeast at 12mph. Is expected to make landfall on the Florida coastline by late today into tomorrow as a category 1 hurricane. Is expected to push up the Eastern Seaboard and be located South of Long Island by early next week. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for: Suwannee River to Mexico Beach. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for: Anclote River to Suwannee River and West of Mexico Beach to Destin. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for: Anclote River to Suwannee River, West of Mexico Beach to Destin, and Marineland to South Santee River. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for: North of South Santee River to Surf City. Wind: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within the warning area beginning tonight. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength by this afternoon, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical storm watch area by Fridaynight and Saturday. Storm Surge: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. There is a danger of life-threatening inundation within the next 36 hours along the Gulf coast of Florida from Aripeka to Indian Pass. Persons located within these areas should be prepared to take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water. Promptly follow any instructions, including evacuation orders, from local officials. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide. Destin to Indian Pass: 1 to 3 feet Indian Pass to Chassahowitzka: 4 to 7 feet Chassahowitzka to Aripeka: 2 to 4 feet. Aripeka to Bonita Beach, including Tampa Bay: 1 to 3 feet. Florida-Georgia line to Cape Fear: 1 to 3 feet. Rainfall: Hermine is expected to produce storm total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over portions of northwest Florida and southern Georgia through Friday, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches. On Friday and Saturday, Hermine is expected to produce totals of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts of 10 inches possible across portions of eastern Georgia, South Carolina, and eastern North Carolina through Saturday. These rains may cause life-threatening flash flooding. Tornadoes: A few tornadoes are possible this afternoon into Friday morning over north Florida and southeast Georgia. The tornado risk will continue across the eastern Carolinas from Friday morning into Friday night. (#2) Hurricane Gaston has winds of 90mph, gusting to 125mph, with a pressure of 977mbars. Movement is East-Northeast at 20mph. Is expected to maintain hurricane intensity through today then begin to weaken by tomorrow and into weekend. Expected to affect the Azores by tomorrow through Saturday. (#3) A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located over the eastern Atlantic is producing limited shower activity. This wave is expected to be in an environment of very dry air for the next few days, which should prevent significant development during that time. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some development when the wave is near the Lesser Antilles on Sunday or Monday. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) An area of disturbed weather is located about 500 miles southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to become conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend while the low moves west-northwestward or northwestward near the coast of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#2) A weak area of low pressure is located about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is expected to drift westward during the next few days, and any development should be slow to occur due to strongupper-level winds. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Madeline has winds of 50mph, gusting to 65mph, with a pressure of 1003mbars. Movement is West at 14mph. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for: Hawaii County and Maui County including the islands of Maui, Molokai, Lanai and Kahoolawe. Is expected to begin weakening and dissipate over the weekend as it heads West away from land. Wind: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over Hawaii County and portions of Maui County tonight. Winds will be strongest over mountains and where winds blow downslope from higher terrain. Surf: Large swells generated by Madeline will peak in Hawaiian waters overnight, and could be damaging along east facing shores of Hawaii County, especially in the Puna and Kau Districts. Rain: Madeline is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts near 15 inches, across Hawaii County, especially over windward areas and the Kau District. Total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, with isolated maximum amounts up to 4 inches, can be expected in the islands of Maui County, mainly over windward terrain. This rainfall may lead to dangerous flash floods and mudslides. (#2) Hurricane Lester has winds of 110mph, gusting to 135mph, with a pressure of 967mbars. Movement is West at 14mph. Is expected to remain a hurricane intensity over the next few days and expected to pass just North of Hawaii by late week through the weekend. Surf: Swells generated by Lester will start to build over east facing shores Thursday and Friday. Surf will peak this weekend, becoming very large and damaging along east facing shores. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Namtheun has winds of 60mph, gusting to 75mph, with a pressure of 990mbars. Movement is East-Northeast at 16mph. Is expected to intensify into a category 2 typhoon by late today/early tomorrow and affect Japan late weekend through early next week. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
