Thursday, October 22, 2015

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 50 and it feels like 50. Highs will continue to range between 62 and 82 with lows between 41 and 62. There is a slight chance of rain on Sunday, a 50% chance of showers next Tuesday, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms next Wednesday, and a slight chance of rain next Saturday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 50 and it feels like 48. Todays high is 82 with a low of 57. Fridays high is 84.

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map_specnewsdct-100_ltst_4namus_enus_650x366 230Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There could be a threat of severe weather around October 30th-November 5th.

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hazards_d3_7_contours_home 331Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across much of the Southern High Plains. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of North-Central into South-Central Texas. Main Threats: large hail and damaging winds.

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day2otlk_0600 313 day2probotlk_0600_any 374Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Hurricane Patricia has winds of 85mph, gusting to 105mph, with a pressure of 980mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 17mph. Is expected to intensify further into a major category 3 hurricane as it makes landfall on the coast of Mexico by late Friday night/early Saturday morning. A Hurricane Watch is in effect from East of Punta San Telmo, Mexico to Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Cabo Corrientes, Mexico to Punta San Telmo, Mexico. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from East of Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico to Tecpan De Galeana, Mexico. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from East of Punta San Telmo, Mexico to Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico. Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area by tomorrow. Tropical Storm conditions are expected in the warning areas by late tonight or early Friday, and are possible within the tropical storm watch area by tonight or early Friday. Total rainfall amounts of 6-12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches, over the Mexican states of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan, and Guerrero later today into Saturday. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. (#2) An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles South or South-Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula late this week or over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some slow development of this system while it moves slowly toward the East-Northeast or Northeast. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) Major Hurricane Olaf has winds of 120mph, gusting to 150mph, with a pressure of 957mbars. Movement is Northwest at 8mph. Is expected to remain a hurricane through Sunday and weaken to a tropical storm by early next week. Not a threat to land. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Typhoon Champi has winds of 115mph, gusting to 145mph, with a pressure of 940mbars. Movement is Northeast at 5mph. Is expected to weaken to a tropical storm by Sunday. Is not a threat to land. (#2) Tropical Depression Twenty-Six has winds of 30mph, gusting to 40mph, with a pressure of 1004mbars. Movement is North-Northwest at 21mph. Is not a threat to land and will remain a tropical depression through Saturday. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.

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