Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 69 and it feels like 69. Highs will continue to range between 83 and 97 with lows between 61 and 72. There is a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms today, a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms tomorrow, and an 80% chance of thunderstorms on Saturday. Few storms could be strong to severe today through Saturday. Primary threats: large hail and damaging winds. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 69 and it feels like 69. Todays high is 88 and a low of 69 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Fridays high is 87 with a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms.
Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There are no threats of severe weather in the longer range.
Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Northern Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Lower Rio Grande Valley. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1c) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Lower Great Lakes, Upper Ohio Valley, and Appalachians Region. Primary threats: large hail and damaging wind gusts. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow surrounding the Slight Risk and including portions of the Northern Plains and Western Upper Great Lakes Region. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow across portions of the Upper MS Valley Area and extending Southwestward into Northeastern Nebraska. Primary threats: large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Saturday from the Eastern Wisconsin Vicinity South-Southwestward into parts of Missouri. Primary threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a Day 4 (Sunday/Monday) 15-30% severe weather risk from Eastern Georgia, much of South Carolina, Eastern-Central North Carolina, Eastern Virginia, extreme Eastern West Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, Eastern Pennsylvania, parts of Long Island, extreme Western Massachusetts, and Southern New York State in the Day 4-8 Outlook. This means there is a 15-30% chance of seeing severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) A broad low pressure area may form over the Southern Gulf of Mexico by early next week. Additional development of the low should be slow to occur as the low moves slowly North-Northeastward. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) A broad area of low pressure located about 1000 miles South-Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Although shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little less organized since this afternoon, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days as the disturbance moves West-Northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a High chance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 90%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.