Thursday, June 16, 2016

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 71 and it feels like 71. Highs will continue to range between 92 and 98 with lows between 64 and 72. There is a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms today, and a 50% chance of PM thunderstorms tomorrow. Few storms could be strong to severe late today through tomorrow. Primary threat: damaging winds. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 73 and it feels like 73. Todays high is 98 and a low of 74 with a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms. Fridays high is 96 with a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms.

latest (radar 54)

map_specnewsdct-100_ltst_4namus_enus_650x366 582

Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There are no threats of severe weather in the longer range.

NWS Jackson MS Image 373

NWS Jackson MS Image 374

NWS Memphis Image 49

94ewbg 254

99ewbg 182

fill_94qwbg 485

p120i 486

p168i 485

hazards_d3_7_contours_home 460

hazards_d8_14_contours_home 157probhazards_d8_14_contours 192Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across parts of West Texas and Far Eastern New Mexico. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Great Plains, Lower Missouri Valley, Mid MS Valley, Central to Eastern Gulf Coast States, Carolinas, Southern to Central Appalachians, Lower Great Lakes, and Mid-Atlantic States outside of the Slight Risk areas. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2a) Slight Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Northern Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2b) Slight Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Upper Ohio Valley, Southern to Central Appalachians, and Mid-Atlantic outside of the Enhanced Risk area. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#3) Enhanced Risk of severe weather today across parts of Eastern Ohio, West Virginia, Virginia, Southwest Pennsylvania, and Western Maryland. Primary threat: large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of the Northern Rockies into adjacent High Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across surrounding areas of the South Atlantic and Eastern Gulf States into parts of the Ozark Plateau. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of Central/Southern Alabama, Georgia, and adjacent portions of Southern South Carolina/Northern Florida. Primary threat: damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Saturday across surrounding areas of the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather on Saturday across parts Central through Northeast Montana into Western/Central North Dakota. Primary threats: large hail and damaging winds.

day1otlk_1200 295

day1probotlk_1200_torn 262

day1probotlk_1200_wind 324

day1probotlk_1300_hail 467

 

day2otlk_0600 404 day2probotlk_0600_any 465 day3otlk_0730 319 day3prob_0730 418

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) A tropical wave located over Honduras, Nicaragua, and the adjacent waters of the Northwestern Caribbean Sea is producing a broad area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur due to interaction with land while the system moves West-Northwestward at 10 to 15mph toward the Bay of Campeche over the next few days. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles South of Manzanillo, Mexico, have continued to increase since yesterday and are showing signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some gradual development of this system over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two while the disturbance moves West-Northwestward at 5-10mph. Over the weekend, however, conditions are forecast to gradually become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Medium chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.

two_atl_2d1 206 two_atl_5d1 214 two_pac_2d1 320 two_pac_5d1 322

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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