Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 78 and it feels like 78. Highs will continue to range between 82 and 94 with lows between 67 and 71. There is a slight chance of rain today, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms tomorrow, a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Saturday, a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Sunday, a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms next Monday, a slight chance of rain next Tuesday, a slight chance of rain next Wednesday, and a slight chance of rain next Thursday. Some storms could be strong to severe today/tomorrow. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, heavy rain, and localized flash flooding. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Dr. Greg Forbes, severe weather expert at The Weather Channel, is giving North MS a 2-3 on TOR:CON (Tornado Condition Index) for today. This means there is a 20-30% chance of seeing a tornado within 50 miles of a given point. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 77 and it feels like 77. Todays high is 88 and a low of 72 with a slight chance of rain with West-Southwest winds at 10-20mph with gusts to 30mph. Friday high is 82 with a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms.
Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.
Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today from the Central Plains Eastward to the Mid-Atlantic. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather from the Central Plains into the Tennessee and Lower Ohio River Valley. Main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow from the Southern Plains to the Carolinas. Main threats will be damaging winds and large hail. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Saturday across the High Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2b) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Saturday over the Gulf States. Main threats will be large hail and damaging winds.
Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is expected over the next 5-10 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) An area of low pressure is expected to form well to the East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands by the weekend. Upper-level winds are forecast to become conducive for gradual development early next week while the system moves slowly to the West or West-Northwest. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next several days. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Chan-hom has winds of 65mph, gusting to 80mph, with a pressure of 985mbars. Movement is West-Southwest at 23mph. Is expected to become a category 1 typhoon by late today then a category 3major typhoon by late Saturday/Sunday and a major category 4 typhoon by next Monday or Tuesday. (#2) Tropical Depression Ten has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 1002mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 11mph. Is expected to become a tropical storm by late today or tomorrow then a typhoon by Monday or Tuesday of next week. Will have impacts on the Northern Philippines over next few days and into early next week then Taiwan by mid to late next week. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific Region), (#1) Tropical Cyclone Raquel has winds of 40mph, gusting to 50mph, with a pressure of 997mbars. Movement is Northeast at 5mph. Is expected to pass through Solomon Islands through Saturday and weaken to a tropical depression by Sunday.