Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 47 and it feels like 47. Dense Fog Advisory in effect for North MS until 9am this morning. Visibility: less than 1/4 mile. Highs will continue to range between 51 and 76 with lows between 32 and 60. There is a 40% chance of AM showers tomorrow, a 90% chance of PM thunderstorms on Sunday, a 40% chance of PM showers next Wednesday, a slight chance of rain next Thursday, and a slight chance of rain next Friday. Winds on Sunday will be out of the South-Southeast at 15-25mph with gusts to 35mph. Some storms could be strong to severe late Sunday evening through early Monday morning. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, isolated tornadoes, heavy rain of 1-3 inches with locally higher amounts, and localized flash flooding. Dr. Greg Forbes, severe weather expert at The Weather Channel, is giving MS a TOR:CON (Tornado Condition Index) of 2-3 on Sunday. This means there is a 20-30% chance of seeing a tornado within 50 miles of a given point. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 48 and it feels like 48. Todays high is 70 with a low of 55. Fridays high is 73 with a 30% chance of AM showers.
Now, for your Severe/Winter Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of severe weather or winter weather in the longer range.
Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today from Western Oregon into extreme Northwestern California. Main threats: small hail and strong, gusty winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Saturday surrounding the slight risk from Deep South Texas to Eastern Kansas, Missouri, and Far Southern Iowa. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather on Saturday across much of Central and East Texas, Central and Eastern Oklahoma, Northwest Louisiana, Western Arkansas, and a small parts of Southwest Missouri. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a Day 4 (Sunday/Monday) 15% severe weather risk in the Day 4-8 Outlook from Eastern Texas, all of Louisiana, Southern Arkansas, most of MS, much of Alabama, parts of the Florida Panhandle, and extreme Western Georgia. This means there is a 15% chance of seeing severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of a given point.
Now, for your tropical update. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Tropical Depression has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 1006mbars. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), (#1) Tropical Cyclone Five has winds of 40mph, gusting to 50mph, with a pressure of 999mbars. Movement is West at 9mph. Not a threat to land and should dissipate by next Tuesday. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.