Thursday, August 4, 2016

Good Morning! Heat Advisory is in effect for North MS until 8pm tomorrow evening. Heat Index Values: 105 to 110 degrees. At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 72 and it feels like 72. Highs will continue to range between 89 and 96 with lows between 70 and 75. There is a slight chance of rain today, a slight chance of rain tomorrow, and a slight chance of rain on Saturday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 74 and it feels like 74. Todays high is 97 and a low of 74 with a slight chance of rain. Fridays high is 98 with a slight chance of rain.

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Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There are no threats of severe weather in the longer range.

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Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across surrounding areas of the Upper Great Lakes/Mississippi Valley into the Central Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Upper Midwest. Primary threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Saturday across portions of the Northeastern U.S. Primary threats: small hail and gusty winds.

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Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Hurricane Earl has winds of 75mph, gusting to 90mph, with a pressure of 982mbars. Movement is West at 15mph. Is expected to weaken as it heads over Mexico over the next few days. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for: Puerto Costa Maya, Mexico, Southward to the Belize/Guatemala border. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for: North of Puerto Costa Maya to Punta Allen, Mexico. Winds: Hurricane conditions are spreading through Central and Northern Belize near the center of Earl. Tropical Storm conditions are spreading across the coasts of Belize and Mexico elsewhere in the warned area, and should spread into the Southern Yucatan Peninsula and Northern Guatemala this morning. Rainfall: Earl is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over portions of Belize, Guatemala, and the Mexican States of Campeche, Chiapas, Quintana, Tabasco, and Veracruz through Friday morning. Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are possible in Belize, Northern Guatemala, and the central part of the Mexican state of Chiapas. These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Storm Surge: A storm surge along the immediate coast of Belize and the eastern Yucatan Peninsula should subside today as the center of Earl moves farther inland. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Ivette has winds of 45mph, gusting to 60mph, with a pressure of 1004mbars. Movement is West at 15mph. Is expected to intensify into a hurricane by late Friday. Not a threat to land. (#2) An area of low pressure is expected to form near the Southern or Southwestern coast of Mexico this weekend in association with the remnants of Atlantic Hurricane Earl after it moves across Southern Mexico. Some subsequent development of this system is possible early next week while it moves Northwestward near the Southwestern coast of Mexico to the South of the Baja California Peninsula. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Omais has winds of 40mph, gusting to 50mph, with a pressure of 998mbars. Movement is stationary. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.

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