Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 74 and it feels like 74. Highs will continue to range between 83 and 90 with lows between 60 and 69. There is an 80% chance of AM thunderstorms today, a slight chance of rain tomorrow, a 50% chance of PM thunderstorms on Saturday, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Sunday, and a slight chance of rain on Monday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 72 and it feels like 72. Todays high is 77 and a low of 67 with a 40% chance of AM thunderstorms. Fridays high is 84 with a slight chance of rain.
Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.
Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Lower Great Lakes Region and the Upper Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic Coast. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across the Southern/Central High Plains. Main threats: large hail and damaging wind gusts. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Saturday surrounding the Slight Risk over the Upper MS Valley into the Mid Missouri Valley. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather on Saturday from Minnesota into Northwestern Iowa. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes.
Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Tropical Storm Danny has winds of 50mph, gusting to 65mph, with a pressure of 1000mbars. Movement is West at 10mph. Is expected to become a hurricane by early Saturday and remain a hurricane through early Monday. Could affect the Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico by late weekend/early next week. (#2) A broad surface trough interacting with an upper-level low is producing a few showers to the Southeast through Southwest of Bermuda. A non-tropical low pressure system could form over the Western Atlantic in the vicinity of Bermuda during the next few days. However, environmental conditions are only somewhat favorable for subsequent tropical or subtropical development of this system over the weekend while it moves slowly Northward. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) A broad area of nearly stationary low pressure was located about 900 miles South-Southeast of Hilo, Hawaii or about 1050 miles South-Southeast of Honolulu, Hawaii. Environmental conditions will support slow development in this area during the next couple of days. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. (#2) An area of nearly stationary pulsing convection was located about 1500 miles West-Southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii. Environmental conditions may support slow development in this area during the next couple of days. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Major Typhoon Goni has winds of 130mph, gusting to 160mph, with a pressure of 935mbars. Movement is West at 8mph. Is expected to remain a category 4 typhoon through early Saturday morning then weaken back to category 3 intensity by Sunday. Expected to affect the Northern Philippines and Taiwan as a major category 3 or 4 typhoon by late today through the weekend. Is expected to affect Japan as a weakening category 2 or 1 typhoon by Monday through Tuesday. (#2) Super Typhoon Atsani has winds of 155mph, gusting to 190mph, with a pressure of 925mbars. Movement is Northwest at 13mph. Is expected to remain a category 4 typhoon through Saturday then begin a weakening trend by Sunday into early next week. Is not a threat to land as it will pass South of Japan. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next couple of days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
