North MS Local Forecast: Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 49 and it feels like 49. Highs will continue to range between 86 and 92 with lows between 60 and 67. There is a no rain expected over the next 5 days. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 51 and it feels like 51. Todays high is 81 with a low of 55. Tuesdays high is 84.
Severe Weather Update (Southeast Region): Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.
Severe Weather Outlook (Nationwide): Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of the Central Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of North-Central and Northeastern North Dakota. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather Wednesday across parts of the Northern High Plains. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds.
Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad low pressure system located several hundred miles West-Southwest of the Cape-Verde Islands continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves generally Northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 90%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#2) Shower activity is minimal in association with an area of low pressure located over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves little. After a couple of days, a slow West-Northwestward motion toward Mexico is expected and land interaction should limit development. An Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance Aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Monday afternoon, if necessary. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#3) A tropical wave located just off the West coast of Africa is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this wave over the next several days while it moves Westward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) A weak area of low pressure located about 600 miles South of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing minimal shower activity. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next few days while it moves generally Northwestward at 5 to 10mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Vamco has winds of 40mph, gusting to 50mph, with a pressure of 1000mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 6mph. Is expected to make landfall on the coast of Vietnam by later today and dissipate by tomorrow. (#2) Tropical Depression has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 1002mbars. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
Long Range Outlook: As we head into mid September, expect a continued increase in rainfall across the Southeast. Temperatures will range between normal to much above normal. May see one to three tropical threats going through mid to late September.
Weather Word of the Week: Waterspout. In general, is a tornado occurring over water. Specifically, it normally refers to a small, relatively weak rotating column of air over water beneath a Cb or towering cumulus cloud. Waterspouts are most common over tropical or subtropical waters. The exact definition of waterspout is debatable. In most cases the term is reserved for small vortices over water that are not associated with storm-scale rotation (i.e., they are water-based equivalent landspouts). But there is sufficient justification for calling virtually any rotating column of air a waterspout if it is in contact with a water surface.
Where to find more about me: Visit my website at Parker Weather Service.com, or follow me on Twitter at JohnnyParker012@twitter.com and on Google Plus JohnnyParker. The Regional Rehabilitation Center in Tupelo, MS, serves people, like myself, with physical disabilities. I am their “Weatherman in Residence”.