North MS Local Forecast: Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 58 and it feels like 58. Highs will continue to range between 77 and 85 with lows between 52 and 62. There is a 50% chance of AM showers next Tuesday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 56 and it feels like 56. Todays high is 83 with a low of 61. Tuesdays high is 84.
Severe Weather Update (Southeast Region): Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There could be a potential threat of severe weather around October 18th-19th.
Severe Weather Outlook (Nationwide): Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across much of the Southwestern U.S. Main threats: large hail and gusty winds. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of Far Eastern Arizona, Southwest New Mexico, and Far West Texas. Main threats: large hail and a few isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Wednesday across parts of Eastern New Mexico and West Texas. Main threats: large hail, strong wind gusts, and a few isolated tornadoes.
Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Hurricane Joaquin has winds of 85mph, gusting to 105mph, with a pressure of 964mbars. Movement is North-Northeast at 13mph. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Bermuda. Is expected to remain a hurricane through Wednesday then transition to an extratropical storm by Thursday. (#2) A broad low pressure area located about midway between the Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are not particularly conducive for tropical cyclone formation, and any development of this system should be slow to occur during the next several days while it moves West-Northwestward at about 15mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) A broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 950 miles Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become less favorable during the next day or two, and significant development of this disturbance appears unlikely while it moves North-Northeastward and then Northward at 5 to 10mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Oho has winds of 50mph, gusting to 65mph, with a pressure of 989mbars. Movement is North-Northeast at 1mph. Is expected to remain a tropical storm through Thursday as it heads East of Hawaii. While no direct impact is expected, high waves, rough seas, and rip currents are likely along the coastline. (#2) Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 875 miles Southeast of Hilo, Hawaii, remain disorganized. However, environmental conditions may support some development over the next couple of days as it moves slowly North. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Choi-Wan has winds of 70mph, gusting to 85mph, has winds of 970mbars. Movement is West at 10mph. Is expected to become a category 1 typhoon by later today and head to the East of Japan by mid to late week. Could cause high waves/surf along the coast of Japan by late week. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
Long Range Outlook: As we head into early October, expect an increase in rainfall across the Southeast. Temperatures will range between normal to slightly below normal. May see one to three tropical threats going through early to mid October.
Weather Word of the Week: Flash Flood Warning. Is issued to inform the public, emergency management, and other cooperating agencies that flash flooding is in progress, imminent, or highly likely.
Where to find more about me: Visit my website at Parker Weather Service.com, or follow me on Twitter at JohnnyParker012@twitter.com and on Google Plus JohnnyParker. The Regional Rehabilitation Center in Tupelo, MS, serves people, like myself, with physical disabilities. I am their “Weatherman in Residence”.