North MS Local Forecast: Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 37 and it feels like 37. A Frost Advisory remains in effect for parts of North MS until 8am this morning. Highs will continue to range between 65 and 84 with lows between 49 and 60. There is a slight chance of rain next Saturday, a 60% chance of showers next Sunday, a 60% chance of showers next Monday, a 60% chance of showers next Tuesday, and a 60% chance of showers next Wednesday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 37 and it feels like 34. Todays high is 72 with a low of 43. Tuesdays high is 75.
Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There could be a threat of severe weather/heavy rain around October 30th-November 2nd.
Severe Weather Outlook (Nationwide): Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across Western and Northern Arizona, Southern Utah, and far Western Colorado. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow for portions of Southeastern Arizona, Southern New Mexico, and Far West Texas. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Wednesday for portions of Southern New Mexico and parts of West and Southwest Texas. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds.
Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Hurricane Olaf has winds of 100mph, gusting to 120mph, with a pressure of 978mbars. Movement is West at 12mph. Is expected to remain a hurricane through Friday as it enters the Central Basin by late today and curves to the East of Hawaii. Not a threat to land. (#2) Cloudiness and thunderstorms extending several hundred miles off the coasts of Southern Mexico and Guatemala are associated with a broad area of low pressure, which is interacting with strong Northerly winds blowing over the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Although some development is possible during the next day or so, a tropical depression is more likely to form around mid week once the low begins to move West-Northwestward and then Northwestward away from the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Interests along the Southern and Southwestern coasts of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system during the next few days. Regardless of development, heavy rains are possible over portions of Southern Mexico, Guatemala, and El Salvador during the next couple of days. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Typhoon Koppu has winds of 75mph, gusting to 90mph, with a pressure of 980mbars. Movement is North at 5mph. Is expected to continue to affect the Northern Philippines through Thursday then move towards Taiwan by late week. (#2) Major Typhoon Champi has winds of 120mph, gusting to 150mph, with a pressure of 940mbars. Movement is North-Northwest at 3mph. Is expected to remain a major category 3 typhoon through Wednesday and start to weaken mid to late week. Is not a threat to land. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
Long Range Outlook: As we head into mid to late October, expect an increase in rainfall across the Southeast. Temperatures will range between normal to slightly below normal. May see one to three tropical threats going through late October/early November.
Weather Word of the Week: Frost. Frost describes the formation of thin ice crystals on the ground or other surfaces in the form of scales, needles, feathers, or fans. Frost develops under conditions similar to dew, except the temperatures of the Earth’s surface and earthbound objects fall below 32 degrees F. As with the term “freeze”, this condition is primarily significant during the growing season. If a frost period is sufficiently severe to end the growing season or delay its beginning, it is commonly referred to as a “killing frost”. Because frost is primarily an event that occurs as the result of radiational cooling, it frequently occurs with a thermometer level temperature in the mid-30s.
Where to find more about me: Visit my website at Parker Weather Service.com, or follow me on Twitter at JohnnyParker012@twitter.com and on Google Plus JohnnyParker. The Regional Rehabilitation Center in Tupelo, MS, serves people, like myself, with physical disabilities. I am their “Weatherman in Residence”.