North MS Local Forecast: Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 47 and it feels like 46. Highs will continue to range between 58 and 69 with lows between 37 and 44. There is a slight chance of rain today, a 100% chance of heavy rain on Wednesday, a 60% chance of showers next Tuesday, and a 50% chance of AM showers next Wednesday. Winds tomorrow will be out of the Southeast at 15-25mph with gusts to 35mph. Significant severe weather outbreak is possible late tomorrow evening through early Wednesday morning. Main threats: large hail, widespread damaging winds, isolated tornadoes, heavy rainfall of 2-4 inches with locally higher amounts, and flash flooding. Dr. Greg Forbes, severe weather expert at The Weather Channel, is giving MS a TOR:CON (Tornado Condition Index) of 3 for tomorrow. This means there is a 30% chance of seeing a tornado within 50 miles of a given point. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 48 and it feels like 46. Todays high is 70 and a low of 59 with a slight chance of rain. Tuesdays high is 73 with a slight chance of rain with Southeast winds at 20-30mph with gusts to 40mph.
Severe/Winter Weather Update (Southeast Region): Now, for your Severe/Winter Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There could be potential for severe weather around November 26th-29th. There could be potential for winter weather around November 29th-December 1st.
Severe Weather Outlook (Nationwide): Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today over the Central Plains Southward to the Gulf Coast. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather today for parts of Western Nebraska/Kansas into much of Oklahoma and Texas. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#3) Enhanced Risk of severe weather today over parts of North-Central Texas into Central/Western Oklahoma and the Eastern Texas Panhandle. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow from Eastern Oklahoma to Western Alabama. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow from East Texas into the Central MS. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#3) Enhanced Risk of severe weather tomorrow across portions of the Lower MS Valley. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Wednesday across parts of the Southeastern U.S. Main threats: damaging winds.
Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) An elongated area of low pressure located about 1100 miles West-Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur while it drifts Southwestward during the next few days. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
Long Range Outlook: As we head into mid November, expect an increase in rainfall across the Southeast with a increase in potential for severe weather. Temperatures will range between normal to slightly below normal. May see one to two more tropical threats going through mid to late November.
Weather Word of the Week: Precipitable Water. Is a measure of the depth of liquid water at the surface that would result after precipitating all of the water vapor in a vertical column over a given location, usually extending from the surface to 300mb.
Where to find more about me: Visit my website at Parker Weather Service.com, or follow me on Twitter at JohnnyParker012@twitter.com and on Google Plus JohnnyParker. The Regional Rehabilitation Center in Tupelo, MS, serves people, like myself, with physical disabilities. I am their “Weatherman in Residence”.