North MS Local Forecast: Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 55 and it feels like 55. Highs will continue to range between 79 and 91 with lows between 57 and 67. There is a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Wednesday. Few storms could be strong to severe tomorrow. Primary threats: large hail and damaging winds. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 58 and it feels like 58. Todays high is 75 and a low of 60 with a slight chance of rain. Tuesdays high is 86.
Severe Weather Update (Southeast Region): Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There are no threats of severe weather in the longer range.
Severe Weather Outlook (Nationwide): Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Southern and Central Plains outside of the Slight Risk area. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Southern and Central Plains outside of the Enhanced Risk area. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#3) Enhanced Risk of severe weather today across parts of Northeast Texas, the Oklahoma Panhandle, and Northwest Oklahoma. Primary threats: large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow from the Southern Plains to the Lower MS River Valley. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow across much of Central/South/East Texas and ArkLaTex. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#3) Enhanced Risk of severe weather today across South-Central Texas. Primary threats: large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas/Georgia. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Wednesday across parts of New Mexico/Texas to Louisiana. Primary threats: damaging winds and large hail.
Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Satellite-derived surface winds indicate that the low pressure system located about 1000 miles South-Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula has become a little better defined. Although shower and thunderstorm activity has become somewhat more concentrated over the past several hours, any further development of this disturbance is expected to be slow to occur through Tuesday while it moves Westward to West-Northwestward at around 5 to 10mph. After that time, upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
Long Range Outlook: As we head into mid to late May, expect a continuance in normal to above normal rainfall across the Southeast with an increase in potential for severe weather. Temperatures will range between normal to a slightly above normal.
Weather Word of the Week: MCS (Mesoscale Convective System). Is a complex of thunderstorms which becomes organized on a scale larger than the individual thunderstorms, and normally persists for several hours or more. MCSs may be round or linear in shape, and include systems such as tropical cyclones, squall lines, and Mesoscale Convective Complexes (MCCs) (among others). MCS often is used to describe a cluster of thunderstorms that does not satisfy the size, shape, or duration criteria of an Mesoscale Convective Complex.
Where to find more about me: Visit my website at Parker Weather Service.com, or follow me on Twitter at JohnnyParker012@twitter.com and on Google Plus JohnnyParker. The Regional Rehabilitation Center in Tupelo, MS, serves people, like myself, with physical disabilities. I am their “Weatherman in Residence”.