North MS Local Forecast: Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 67 and it feels like 67. Highs will continue to range between 87 and 96 with lows between 68 and 72. There is a slight chance of rain today, an 80% chance of thunderstorms tomorrow, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Wednesday, a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Thursday, a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Friday, a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Saturday, a slight chance of rain on Sunday, a slight chance of rain next Monday, a slight chance of rain next Tuesday, and a 50% chance of PM thunderstorms next Wednesday. Few storms could be strong to severe late today through tomorrow. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, heavy rain, and localized flash flooding. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Dr. Greg Forbes, severe weather expert at The Weather Channel, is giving North MS a 2-3 on TOR:CON (Tornado Condition Index) for tomorrow. This means there is a 20-30% chance of seeing a tornado within 50 miles of a given point. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 68 and it feels like 68. Todays high is 91 and a low of 70 with a slight chance of rain. Tuesdays high is 88 with a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms.
Severe Weather Update (Southeast Region): Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.
Severe Weather Outlook (Nationwide): Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across the Northern Rockies. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather today from the Central and Southern High Plains to Southern Arizona. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1c) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across portions of the Ohio Valley. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1d) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across portions of the Upper Midwest. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2a) Slight Risk of severe weather today across the Upper MS Valley. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2b) Slight Risk of severe weather today across the Middle Ohio Valley Region. Main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across the Northern High Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow from the Mid-South to Middle Atlantic. Main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Wednesday from the Mid MS Valley to the Tennessee Valley. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Wednesday across parts of the Northeastern U.S. Main threats will be large hail and damaging winds.
Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is expected over the next 5-10 days. In the Eastern Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5-10 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next several days. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
Long Range Outlook: As we head into early July, expect a continued increase in rainfall across the Southeast. Temperatures will range between normal to much above normal. May start to see a slight uptick in tropical activity as we head towards late June/early July, primarily off Southeast Coast and Gulf of Mexico. A very active Hurricane/Typhoon season expected in the Eastern/Western Pacific Basins.
Weather Word of the Week: MCS (Mesoscale Convective System). Is a complex of thunderstorms which becomes organized on a scale larger than the individual thunderstorms, and normally persists for several hours or more. MCS’s may be round or linear in shape, and include systems such as tropical cyclones, squall lines, and Mesoscale Convective Complexes (MCCs) (among others). MCS is often used to describe a cluster of thunderstorms that does not satisfy the size, shape, or duration criteria of an Mesoscale Convective Complex.
Where to find more about me: Visit my website at Parker Weather Service.com, or follow me on Twitter at JohnnyParker012@twitter.com and on Google Plus JohnnyParker. The Regional Rehabilitation Center in Tupelo, MS, serves people, like myself, with physical disabilities. I am their “Weatherman in Residence”.