North MS Local Forecast: Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 61 and it feels like 60. Highs will continue to range between 46 and 75 with lows between 27 and 47. There is a 40% chance of showers today, an 80% chance of thunderstorms tomorrow, and a 50% chance of AM showers next Tuesday. Winds tomorrow will be South-Southeast at 20-30mph with gusts to 40mph. A significant severe weather/tornado outbreak is expected tomorrow through early Wednesday morning. Primary threats: damaging winds, large hail, tornadoes (few of which could be strong/long-tracked), heavy rain of 1-3 inches with locally higher amounts, and localized flash flooding. Dr. Greg Forbes, severe weather expert at The Weather Channel, is giving North MS a TOR:CON (Tornado Condition Index) of 5 for tomorrow. This means there is a 50% chance of seeing a tornado within 50 miles of a given point. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 59 and it feels like 57. Todays high is 67 and a low of 58 with a 40% chance of showers. Tuesdays high is 73 with a 90% chance of thunderstorms with South at 20-30mph with gusts to 40mph.
Severe/Winter Weather Update (Southeast Region): Now, for your Severe/Winter Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There could be winter weather potential around February 10th-20th.
Severe Weather Outlook (Nationwide): Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow immediately surrounding the Slight Risk area. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow from Southern Illinois and Indiana Southward to the Central Gulf Coast. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#3) Enhanced Risk of severe weather tomorrow across much of MS, Northwestern Alabama, Western Tennessee/Kentucky, and extreme Southern Illinois/Indiana. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes.
Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
Long Range Outlook: As we head into early February, expect a continuance in normal to above normal rainfall across the Southeast with an increase in potential for winter weather. Temperatures will range between normal to much below normal.
Weather Word of the Week: Tornado Watch. Is issued by the Storm Prediction Center in conjunction with the National Weather Service offices when conditions are favorable for the development of tornadoes in and close to the watch area. Their size can vary depending on the weather situation. They are usually issued for a duration of 4 to 8 hours. They normally are issued well in advance of the actual occurrence of severe weather. During the watch, people should review tornado safety rules and be prepared to move a place of safety if threatening weather approaches.
Where to find more about me: Visit my website at Parker Weather Service.com, or follow me on Twitter at JohnnyParker012@twitter.com and on Google Plus JohnnyParker. The Regional Rehabilitation Center in Tupelo, MS, serves people, like myself, with physical disabilities. I am their “Weatherman in Residence”.