North MS Local Forecast: Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 76 and it feels like 76. Highs will continue to range between 83 and 93 with lows between 57 and 69. There is a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms next Monday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 74 and it feels like 74. Todays high is 84 with a low of 59. Tuesdays high is 82. 
Severe Weather Update (Southeast Region): Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.
Severe Weather Outlook (Nationwide): Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow for the Southern New England. Main threats: small hail and gusty winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Wednesday for portions of Eastern Wyoming/Montana into South Dakota. Main threats: large hail and damaging wind gusts.
Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Tropical Storm Danny has winds of 40mph, gusting to 50mph, with a pressure of 1007mbars. Movement is West at 9mph. Is expected to impact Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, and Haiti as a weakening storm. Is expected to dissipate by tomorrow or Wednesday. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for St. Maarten. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Saba and St. Eustatius. (#2) Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization this morning in association with a low pressure system located about midway between Africa and the Windward Islands. The low is gradually becoming better defined and environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression could form later today or on Tuesday while the system moves Westward at around 20mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 90%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#3) A tropical wave located near the Easternmost Cape Verde Islands is accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally favorable for development while the wave moves generally Westward over the tropical Atlantic Ocean at 15 to 20mph this week. However, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be possible across the Cape Verde Islands today. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in association with a low pressure area located about 1500 miles West-Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a few days while the low moves West-Northwestward at 10mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High IghHighchance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#2) Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles South of the coast of Southwestern Mexico are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week while this system moves West-Northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) Tropical Depression Kilo has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 1006mbars. Movement is Northwest at 7mph. Is expected to reintensify into a tropical storm by late today then a hurricane by mid to late week. Is not a threat to Hawaii. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Johnston Island. (#2) Tropical Storm Loke has winds of 60mph, gusting to 70mph, with a pressure of 997mbars. Movement is North-Northeast at 13mph. Is expected to intensify into a hurricane by late today through tomorrow evening. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Lisianski Island to Maro Reef. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Pearl and Hermes Atoll to Lisianski Island. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Major Typhoon Goni has winds of 125mph, gusting to 155mph, with a pressure of 945mbars. Movement is Northeast at 24mph. Is expected to make landfall the Japan coastline as a weakening category 3 typhoon by late today and passing near South Korea Tuesday into Wednesday then dissipating over Russia by mid to late week. (#2) Typhoon Atsani has winds of 75mph, gusting to 90mph, with a pressure of 988mbars. Movement is Northeast at 12mph. Is expected to remain a category 1 typhoon through today then weakening to a tropical storm by tomorrow. Is not a threat to land. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next couple of days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
Long Range Outlook: As we head into late August/early September, expect a continued increase in rainfall across the Southeast. Temperatures will range between normal to much above normal. May see one to three tropical threats going into late month/early September.
Weather Word of the Week: El Nino. Is a warming of ocean current along the coasts of Peru and Ecuador that is generally associated with dramatic changes in the weather patterns of the region; a major El Nino event generally occurs every 3 to 7 years and is associated with changes in the weather patterns worldwide.
Where to find more about me: Visit my website at Parker Weather Service.com, or follow me on Twitter at JohnnyParker012@twitter.com and on Google Plus JohnnyParker. The Regional Rehabilitation Center in Tupelo, MS, serves people, like myself, with physical disabilities. I am their “Weatherman in Residence”.