North MS Local Forecast: Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 73 and it feels like 73. Highs will continue to range between 83 and 91 with lows between 66 and 71. There is a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms today, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms tomorrow, a 90% chance of thunderstorms on Wednesday, a 50% chance of AM thunderstorms on Thursday, a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Friday, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms next Saturday, a slight chance of rain next Sunday, and a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms next Monday. Few storms could be strong to severe on Wednesday. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 72 and it feels like 72. Todays high is 81 and a low of 70 with a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Tuesdays high is 84 with a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms.
Severe Weather Update (Southeast Region): Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.
Severe Weather Outlook (Nationwide): Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today from the Central and Southern High Plains to portions of the Mid-MS Valley. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather today across the Central High Plains. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow from the Upper MS Valley/Upper Great Lakes Southwestward to the Southern High Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow from Southern Minnesota, Southwestern Wisconsin, Northwestern Missouri, and Southwestward to Central Kansas. Main threats: large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Wednesday from the Great Lakes Southwestward into the Ozarks. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather on Wednesday from the Upper Great Lakes Region to the Lower Ohio/Mid MS Valley Area. Main threats: large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes.
Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles Southwest of the Cape Verde Islands continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development during the next few days, and a tropical depression will likely to form by the middle of the week while the system moves Westward or West-Northwestward near 15mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Tropical Depression Eleven-E has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 1004mbars. Movement is Northwest at 17mph. Is not a threat to land and is expected to dissipate by tomorrow. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Major Typhoon Goni has winds of 135mph, gusting to 160mph, with a pressure of 935mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 14mph. Is expected to remain a category 4 typhoon through Wednesday and briefly become a category 5 super typhoon by Thursday. Expected to affect the Northern Philippines, Taiwan, and Eastern China as a major category 3 or 4 typhoon by late Thursday through the weekend. (#2) Typhoon Atsani has winds of 100mph, gusting to 120mph, with a pressure of 965mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 9mph. Is expected to be a major category 3 typhoon by late today then a major category 4 typhoon by Wednesday. Is not a threat to land at this time, but may become a threat to Japan down the road. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next couple of days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
Long Range Outlook: As we head into mid to late August/early September, expect a continued increase in rainfall across the Southeast. Temperatures will range between normal to much above normal. May see one to three tropical threats going into late month/early September.
Weather Word of the Week: Heat Lightning. Is lightning that occurs at a distance such that thunder is no longer audible.
Where to find more about me: Visit my website at Parker Weather Service.com, or follow me on Twitter at JohnnyParker012@twitter.com and on Google Plus JohnnyParker. The Regional Rehabilitation Center in Tupelo, MS, serves people, like myself, with physical disabilities. I am their “Weatherman in Residence”.