North MS Local Forecast: Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 74 and it feels like 74. Highs will continue to range between 86 and 92 with lows between 65 and 72. There is a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms today, a 60% chance of PM thunderstorms on Wednesday, and an 80% chance of thunderstorms on Thursday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 75 and it feels like 75. Todays high is 91 and a low of 72 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Tuesdays high is 91 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms.
Severe Weather Update (Southeast Region): Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There are no threats of severe weather in the longer range.
Severe Weather Outlook (Nationwide): Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across portions of the Central/Eastern Dakotas and North-Central Nebraska. Primary threats: large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of Iowa, Southern Minnesota, and Southwest Wisconsin. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow surrounding the Slight Risk area from New England to the Ohio Valley. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow across Pennsylvania, and Southern New York into Northwest New Jersey. Primary threats: large hail, damaging winds, and a few isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a Day 4 (Thursday/Friday) 15% severe weather risk in the Day 4-8 Outlook from Northeast South Dakota, Eastern North Dakota, and much of Minnesota, and a Day 5 (Friday/Saturday) 15% severe weather risk from much of Kansas, Southeast Nebraska, Northwest Missouri, much of Iowa, Southeast Minnesota, and much of Wisconsin. This means there is a 15% chance of seeing severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms well in advance of it. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this disturbance during the next few days before conditions become less favorable later this week. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward at about 15 mph over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic this week. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) An elongated trough of low pressure continues to produce an area of disturbed weather about 1150 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. This system is moving westward at about 10 mph, and is expected to move into the Central Pacific basin later today. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next several days due to its proximity to dry air. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#2) A trough of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development during the next couple of days while the disturbance moves slowly westward. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Chanthu has winds of 50mph, gusting to 65mph, with a pressure of 985mbars. Movement is North at 14mph. Is expected to remain a tropical storm and affect Japan by tomorrow through Wednesday. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.
Long Range Outlook: As we head into mid August, expect a continuance in normal to slightly below normal rainfall across the Southeast with still some potential for strong to severe storms. Temperatures will range between normal to slightly above normal.
Weather Word of the Week: Precipitable Water. Is the measure of the depth of liquid water at the surface that would result after precipitating all of the water vapor in a vertical column over a given location, usually extending from the surface to 300 mb.
Where to find more about me: Visit my website at Parker Weather Service.com, or follow me on Twitter at JohnnyParker012@twitter.com and on Google Plus JohnnyParker. The Regional Rehabilitation Center in Tupelo, MS, serves people, like myself, with physical disabilities. I am their “Weatherman in Residence”.