Monday, August 10, 2015

North MS Local Forecast: Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 75 and it feels like 75. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for North MS until 8pm this evening. Heat Index Readings: 103-107 degrees. Impacts: increased risk of heat-related illnesses including heat exhaustion and heat stroke if proper precautions are not taken. Highs will continue to range between 90 and 95 with lows between 63 and 71. There is a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms today, a slight chance of rain tomorrow, a 50% chance of PM thunderstorms on Saturday, a 60% chance of PM thunderstorms next Tuesday, and a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms next Wednesday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 75 and it feels like 75. Todays high is 97 and a low of 74 with a slight chance of rain. Tuesdays high is 92 with a slight chance of rain.

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Severe Weather Update (Southeast Region): Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There is no threat of organized or significant severe weather in the long range.

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hazards_d3_7_contours_home 292 probhazards_d8_14_contours 78Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across Central Oregon. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across much of Ohio and Tennessee Valleys into the Appalachians and Western New York/Pennsylvania. Main threats: damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow from Southern New England Southwestward across the Atlantic and Gulf Coastal States. Main threats: damaging wind gusts.

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day2otlk_0600 273 day2probotlk_0600_any 334Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) A trough of low pressure located about 1200 miles West-Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Development of this system is unlikely due to an increasingly unfavorable environment while it moves Westward at around 10mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) Hurricane Hilda has winds of 100mph, gusting to 120mph, with a pressure of 974mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 9mph. Is expected to weaken to a tropical storm by early tomorrow morning then weaken to a tropical depression as it makes landfall on the Big Island on late Thursday night/early Friday morning. Main impacts for Hawaii will be heavy rain, high waves/rough seas, and gusty winds. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next couple of days. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.

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ep201510_sat 6 EP102015W1 3Long Range Outlook: As we head into mid August, expect a continued increase in rainfall across the Southeast. Temperatures will range between normal to much above normal. May see one to three tropical threats going into late month/early September.

Weather Word of the Week: Occluded Mesocyclone. Is a mesocyclone in which air from the rear-flank downdraft has completely enveloped the circulation at low-levels, cutting off the inflow of warm unstable low-level air.

Where to find more about me: Visit my website at Parker Weather Service.com, or follow me on Twitter at JohnnyParker012@twitter.com and on Google Plus JohnnyParker. The Regional Rehabilitation Center in Tupelo, MS, serves people, like myself, with physical disabilities. I am their “Weatherman in Residence”.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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