Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 68 and it feels like 69. Highs will continue to range between 83 and 96 with lows between 58 and 71. There is a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms tomorrow. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 73 and it feels like 76. Todays high is 96 with a low of 74. Thursdays high is 90 with a 40% chance of PM thunderstorms.
Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There are no threats of severe weather in the longer range.
Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across the Northern/Central Florida Peninsula. Primary threats: a few tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina outside of the Slight Risk area. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of Northern Florida, Southeast Georgia, and Far Southern South Carolina. Primary threats: tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Friday across Far Northern Florida, Southeastern Georgia, Eastern South Carolina, and Coastal North Carolina. Primary threat: tornadoes.
Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Tropical Depression Nine has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 1001mbars. Movement is North at 2mph. Is expected to intensify into a tropical storm by late today and make landfall on the Florida coastline by late tomorrow through Friday. Not expected to become a hurricane. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for: Anclote River to Indian Pass. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for: Anclote River to the Walton/Bay County line. Wind: Tropical Storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area on Thursday afternoon. Hurricane conditions are possible over portions of the Hurricane Watch area beginning Thursday afternoon. Storm Surge: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. There is a possibility of life-threatening inundation within the next 48 hours along the Gulf coast of Florida from Aripeka to Indian Pass. Persons located within these areas should be prepared to take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water. Promptly follow any instructions from local officials. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide. Indian Pass to Ochlockonee River: 2 to 4 feet Ochlockonee River to Chassahowitzka: 3 to 5 feet Chassahowitzka to Aripeka: 2 to 4 feet. Aripeka to Bonita Beach, including Tampa Bay: 1 to 2 feet. Rainfall: The depression is expected to produce additional rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over western Cuba through today, with maximum storm total amounts up to 20 inches. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Storm total rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches are possible over portions of central and northern Florida through Friday, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Coastal areas of Georgia and the Carolinas are expected to receive storm total rainfall of 4 to 7 inches, with local amounts of 10 inches possible through Saturday morning. These rains may cause flooding and flash flooding. Tornadoes: Isolated tornadoes are possible late tonight into Thursday morning mainly across central Florida. A few tornadoes are possible Thursday afternoon into Thursday night over north Florida and southeast Georgia. (#2) Major Hurricane Gaston has winds of 120mph, gusting to 150mph, with a pressure of 956mbars. Movement is Northeast at 9mph. Is expected to maintain hurricane intensity over next few days then begin to weaken by the weekend. Expected to affect the Azores by late Friday through early Sunday. (#3) Tropical Depression Eight has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 1011mbars. Movement is Northeast at 5mph. Is expected to intensify into a tropical storm by later today and start to move out to sea today through tomorrow. (#4) A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located over the far eastern Atlantic near the Cabo Verde Islands. This wave is in an environment of very dry air, which should prevent any significant development for a few days. Some development is possible over the weekend when the wave nears the Lesser Antilles. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Major Hurricane Lester has winds of 140mph, gusting to 165mph, with a pressure of 948mbars. Movement is West at 12mph. Is expected to remain a hurricane intensity over the next few days and expected to pass just North of Hawaii by late week through the weekend. (#2) A large area of disturbed weather has formed over the far eastern Pacific centered a few hundred miles south of Guatemala. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend while the low moves west-northwestward or northwestward near the coast of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) Hurricane Madeline has winds of 90mph, gusting to 115mph, with a pressure of 980mbars. Movement is West at 10mph. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for: Hawaii County. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for: Maui County including the islands of Maui, Molokai, Lanai and Kahoolawe. Is expected to impact Hawaii today through tomorrow as a weakening minimal hurricane. Wind: Hurricane conditions are expected to develop over Hawaii County as early as late Wednesday and continue into early Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are possible over Maui County, including the islands of Maui Molokai Lanai and Kahoolawe, late Wednesday into early Thursday. Surf: Swells generated by Madeline are expected to build from east to west across the Hawaiian Islands through tonight, possibly becoming damaging along east facing shorelines of Hawaii County and eastern portions of the Island of Maui Wednesday into Thursday. Rain: Heavy rains associated with Madeline are expected to reach Hawaii County on Wednesday, and may impact other Hawaiian Islands later Wednesday through Thursday. Madeline is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 5 to 10 inches across Hawaii County, with isolated maximum amounts near 15 inches, especially over windward portions. Madeline may produce total rainfall of 1 to 3 inches, with isolated maximum amounts up to 4 inches, across Maui County. This rainfall may lead to dangerous flash floods and mudslides. Storm Surge: Depending on the track of Madeline, the combination of storm surge and tides could cause normally dry areas near the coast to become flooded. The water could reach 1 to 3 feet above ground if peak surge were to coincide with high tide. The surge would be accompanied by large damaging surf and can vary over short distances. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.