Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 72 and it feels like 72. Highs will continue to range between 92 and 97 with lows between 70 and 73. There is a slight chance of rain today, a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms tomorrow, and a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Friday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 73 and it feels like 73. Todays high is 96 and a low of 74 with a slight chance of rain. Thursdays high is 94 with a 50% chance of PM thunderstorms.

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Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There are no threats of severe weather in the longer range.

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Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today from the Southern High Plains Northeastward into the Upper Great Lakes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather today across portions of the Central Plains and Mid MS Valley. Primary threats: large hail and damaging winds. Limited threat: one or two isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on tomorrow from Southeastern New Mexico/West Texas Northeastward across the Mid MS Valley and toward Lake Erie/Western Pennsylvania. Primary threats: small hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather on Friday across Eastern Wyoming, Western South Dakota, and Western Nebraska. Primary threats: large hail and gusty winds.

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Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Satellite images, surface observations, and radar data from the Lesser Antilles indicate that a broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is located near Guadeloupe. Although environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development, this system could become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph across the Leeward Islands and the Greater Antilles. Conditions could become more conducive later this week while the system moves near the southeastern and central Bahamas. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this disturbance later today, if necessary. Interests from the islands of the northeastern Caribbean Sea to the Bahamas should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Gusty winds, heavy rains, and possible flash floods and mudslides could occur over portions of these areas regardless of tropical cyclone formation. Please consult products issued by your local meteorological offices for further details. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#2) Tropical Storm Gaston has winds of 70mph, gusting to 85mph, with a pressure of 999mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 17mph. Is expected to intensify into a hurricane by later today. No threat to land. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Shower activity associated with a low pressure system located about 350 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form later today or on Thursday while the low moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 90%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#2) Another area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form by this weekend while the low moves westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Major Typhoon Lionrock has winds of 115mph, gusting to 145mph, with a pressure of 950mbars. Movement is South-Southwest at 6mph. Is expected to intensify further into a category 4 typhoon and may pose a threat to Japan by early next week as a weakening typhoon. (#2) Tropical Depression Fourteen has winds of 30mph, gusting to 40mph, with a pressure of 1002mbars. Movement is North-Northeast at 27mph. Is expected to remain a tropical depression over the next few days and is not a threat to land. In the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), (#1) Deep Depression BOB Three has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 987mbars. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.

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