Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 75 and it feels like 75. Highs will continue to range between 92 and 96 with lows between 70 and 73. There is a slight chance of rain today, a 60% chance of PM thunderstorms tomorrow, and a slight chance of rain on Saturday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 76 and it feels like 76. Todays high is 96 and a low of 75 with a slight chance of rain. Fridays high is 92 with a 60% chance of PM thunderstorms.

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Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There are no threats of severe weather in the longer range.

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Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather today from West Texas to Eastern Missouri. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across portions of the Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2a) Slight Risk of severe weather today from Northwestern Oklahoma to Southwestern Missouri. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#2b) Slight Risk of severe weather today across the Northern Ohio Valley. Primary threats: large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threat: a few isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1a) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across the Northern High Plains. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1b) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow from Kansas into Western Missouri. Primary threats: large hail and gusty winds.

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Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) A broad area of low pressure located about 200 miles northwest of Puerto Rico is producing gale-force winds over water to the north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. However, satellite images indicate that the shower activity remains disorganized, and the low continues to lack a well-defined center. Although upper-level winds are only marginally conducive for development, this system could still become a tropical cyclone during the next couple of days. Environmental conditions have the potential to become more conducive for development over the weekend when the system is near the central or northwestern Bahamas. Regardless of development, gusty winds and heavy rains are likely to occur over portions of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern and central Bahamas during the next couple of days, which could lead to possible flash floods and mudslides. Please consult products issued by your local meteorological offices and High Seas Forecasts from the National Weather Service for further details. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later this morning. Interests in the northwestern Bahamas and Florida should monitor the progress of this disturbance.  Because of the large uncertainties regarding this system’s development and future track, it is too early to speculate on what specific impacts might occur in the northwestern Bahamas, Florida or beyond. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#2) Hurricane Gaston has winds of 75mph, gusting to 90mph, with a pressure of 988mbars. Movement is Northwest at 17mph. Is expected to weaken back to a tropical storm and maintain intensity over the next few days. No threat to land. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Lester has winds of 40mph, gusting to 50mph, with a pressure of 1005mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 12mph. Is expected to intensify into a hurricane by Saturday. Not a threat to land. (#2) Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have changed little in organization during the past several hours.  Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend while the low moves westward or west-northwestward at 15 mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Major Typhoon Lionrock has winds of 125mph, gusting to 155mph, with a pressure of 945mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 2mph. Is expected to remain at category 3 intensify over next few days and may pose a threat to Japan by early next week as a weakening typhoon. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), (#1) Deep Depression BOB Three has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 987mbars. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.

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