North MS Local Forecast: Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 74 and it feels like 74. Highs will continue to range between 90 and 96 with lows between 66 and 72. There is a slight chance of rain today. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 74 and it feels like 74. Todays high is 95 and a low of 72 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Tuesdays high is 95.

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Severe Weather Update (Southeast Region): Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. There are no threats of severe weather in the longer range.

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Severe Weather Outlook (Nationwide): Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather today across portions of the Upper-Mississippi Valley. Primary threats: strong gusty winds and hail. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Marginal Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of the Mid Missouri Valley, Upper MS Valley, and Western Great Lakes Region. Primary threats: strong gusty winds and hail.

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Tropical Update: Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Tropical Depression Nine has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 1007mbars. Movement is West at 9mph. Is expected to intensify into a tropical storm by tomorrow morning and make landfall on the Florida coastline by late Thursday through Friday. Not expected to become a hurricane. Rainfall: The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over Cuba, with isolated amounts of 12 inches possible through Wednesday. These rains could cause flash floods and mudslides. Total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are possible over the southern Florida peninsula and the Florida Keys through Wednesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 7 inches could occur over coastal areas of southern Florida and the Keys. This rainfall may cause flooding and flash flooding. (#2) Major Hurricane Gaston has winds of 115mph, gusting to 140mph, with a pressure of 960mbars. Movement is North at 1mph. Is expected to maintain hurricane intensity over next few days. No threat to land. (#3) Tropical Depression Eight has winds of 35mph, gusting to 45mph, with a pressure of 1010mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 10mph. Is expected to intensify into a tropical storm by tomorrow morning and pass near the Outer Banks of North Carolina late tomorrow into Wednesday. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for: The coast of North Carolina from Cape Lookout to Oregon Inlet. Wind: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Tuesday afternoon. Rainfall: The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches over far eastern North Carolina, including the Outer Banks. (#4) A tropical wave is expected to move offshore of the west coast of Africa later today or tonight. Conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development of this system later this week while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Major Hurricane Lester has winds of 115mph, gusting to 140mph, with a pressure of 965mbars. Movement is West at 15mph. Is expected to remain a hurricane intensity over the next few days and may become another threat to Hawaii by late week. (#2) A large area of cloudiness and showers located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is showing some signs of organization. However, any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward during the next few days. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#3) An area of low pressure is expected to form later this week a few hundred miles south or southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for slow development of this system while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) Hurricane Madeline has winds of 85mph, gusting to 105mph, with a pressure of 984mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 10mph. Is expected to become a hurricane by today and expected to impact Hawaii by mid to late week as a minimal hurricane. In the Western Pacific, (#1) Typhoon Lionrock has winds of 100mph, gusting to 120mph, with a pressure of 950mbars. Movement is Northeast at 13mph. Is expected to hit Japan today through tomorrow as a weakening category 2 or 1 typhoon. In the North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean), no development is expected over the next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over next 5 days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific), no development is expected over the next 5 days.

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Long Range Outlook: As we head into late August/early September, expect a continuance in normal to slightly above normal rainfall across the Southeast with still some potential for strong to severe storms. Temperatures will range between normal to slightly above normal.

Weather Word of the Week: Wind Shear. Is the rate at which wind velocity changes from point to point in a given direction (as, vertically). The shear can be speed shear (where speed changes between the two points, but not direction), direction shear (where direction changes between the two points, but not speed) or a combination of the two.

Where to find more about me: Visit my website at Parker Weather Service.com, or follow me on Twitter at JohnnyParker012@twitter.com and on Google Plus JohnnyParker. The Regional Rehabilitation Center in Tupelo, MS, serves people, like myself, with physical disabilities. I am their “Weatherman in Residence”.